Sunday, August 03, 2008

Two Years of Nothing: Bear Market Update

Bob Brinker has been fully invested since March 2003. Today we are in a bear market. The S&P500 at 1260 today is a bit lower today than it was two years ago and it is down 20% from "double top" it made about a year ago. I think this chart is worth many thousands of words.
Click charts courtesy of stockcharts.com for full size images

Note in the chart above I show the 200 DMA [200 day moving average or MA(200)] for the S&P500. During the bull market, the 200 DMA is support but during bear markets, it becomes resistance.

2007-2008 Bear Market Statistics 08/03/08

S&P500 Chart
Last Market High 10/11/07 at 1,576.09
Last Market low 07/11/08 at 1,200.44
Current S&P500 Price 1,260.31
Decline in Pts 315.78
Decline in % 20.0%
Max Decline 23.8%
  • =>This means the decline from intraday high to intraday low is 23.8% and we are currently 20.0% off the peak.
  • =>The decline in the S&P500 from the closing high to the closing low was 22.4%... so far! Lets hope that is all.
DJIA Charts
Last Market High 10/11/07 at 14,279.96
Last Market Low 07/15/08 at 10,827.71
Current DJIA Price 11,326.32
Decline in Pts 2,953.64
Decline in % 20.7%
Max Decline 24.2%
  • =>This means the decline from high to low has been 24.2% and we are currently 20.7% off the peak.
  • =>The decline in the DOW off the closing high to the closing low was 22.6%

NASDAQ Charts
Last Market High 10/31/07 at 2,861.51
Last Market Low 03/17/08 at 2,155.42
Current NASDAQ Price 2,310.96
Decline in Pts 550.55
Decline in % 19.2%
Max Decline 24.7%
  • =>This means the decline from intraday high to intraday low is 24.7% and we are currently 19.2% off the peak.
  • =>The decline in the NASDAQ off the closing high to the closing low was 24.1%
Lets hope the bottom is in and Brinker does not get an opportunity to issue yet another buy signal in the 1100s or lower!

Click the flag pictures to see



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